Appendix B. Country Screening Scorecard

Appendix B. Country Screening Scorecard

Geographic Market Entry Playbook 2D

This keeps screening honest when data is imperfect. Separate score from confidence.

  • Scorecard header

    • Company / BU: ____________________

       

    • Category: ____________________

       

    • Date / version: ____________________

       

    • Screening scope (countries considered; any exclusions): ____________________

       

    • Entry mode assumed (direct / partner / acquisition / other): ____________________

       

    Scoring scale and confidence

    • Score: 1 (poor) to 5 (excellent), relative to other long-list countries.

       

    • Confidence:

       

      • H = validated (primary data or authoritative sources)

         

      • M = reasonable proxy (triangulated)

         

      • L = thin/assumption-heavy (requires fast validation)

         

    Scoring items (fill these in)

    Attractiveness

    1. Market size and growth; profit pool; segment tailwinds

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score (1–5): ____

       

    • Confidence (H/M/L): ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    1. Customer urgency and willingness-to-pay (local budget norms)

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    1. Competitive intensity; retaliation likelihood; price pressure

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    Fit
    4) Value proposition resonance; proof path; localization burden

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    1. Route-to-market match; channel power; margin + working capital

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    1. Capability match (delivery, support, talent availability, language)

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    Feasibility
    7) Regulatory path and time-to-invoice (licenses, e-invoicing, residency)

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    1. Operating complexity (tax, payments, logistics, vendor reliability)

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    1. Risk profile (FX, sanctions, corruption exposure, country risk)

       

    • Weight: ____%

       

    • Score: ____

       

    • Confidence: ____

       

    • Evidence / notes: __________________________________________

       

    Summary and decision

    • Weighted score (total): ____________________

       

    • Top uncertainties (max 5):

       

    • Screening decision: ☐ Short-list ☐ Hold ☐ Drop

       

    • Rationale (2–5 sentences): __________________________________________

       

    • Next validation actions (8–12 interviews, counsel memo, margin check, etc.): __________________________________________

       

    • Revisit triggers (what evidence would change the decision): __________________________________________

       

    Confidence upgrade plan for short-listed countries

    • Top 5 low-confidence assumptions that drive the score: ____________________

       

    • Fast tests: targeted customer/partner interviews; one local counsel memo on gating regs; channel margin check.

       

    • Decision rule: what evidence moves the country from Hold → Short-list or Short-list → Drop.

       

    • Common traps: over-weighting macro indicators; ignoring invoicing/tax friction; assuming channel power is “manageable.”

       

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