This keeps screening honest when data is imperfect. Separate score from confidence.
Scorecard header
- Company / BU: ____________________
- Category: ____________________
- Date / version: ____________________
- Screening scope (countries considered; any exclusions): ____________________
- Entry mode assumed (direct / partner / acquisition / other): ____________________
Scoring scale and confidence
- Score: 1 (poor) to 5 (excellent), relative to other long-list countries.
- Confidence:
- H = validated (primary data or authoritative sources)
- M = reasonable proxy (triangulated)
- L = thin/assumption-heavy (requires fast validation)
- H = validated (primary data or authoritative sources)
Scoring items (fill these in)
Attractiveness
- Market size and growth; profit pool; segment tailwinds
- Weight: ____%
- Score (1–5): ____
- Confidence (H/M/L): ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
- Customer urgency and willingness-to-pay (local budget norms)
- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
- Competitive intensity; retaliation likelihood; price pressure
- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
Fit
4) Value proposition resonance; proof path; localization burden- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
- Route-to-market match; channel power; margin + working capital
- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
- Capability match (delivery, support, talent availability, language)
- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
Feasibility
7) Regulatory path and time-to-invoice (licenses, e-invoicing, residency)- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
- Operating complexity (tax, payments, logistics, vendor reliability)
- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
- Risk profile (FX, sanctions, corruption exposure, country risk)
- Weight: ____%
- Score: ____
- Confidence: ____
- Evidence / notes: __________________________________________
Summary and decision
- Weighted score (total): ____________________
- Top uncertainties (max 5):
- Screening decision: ☐ Short-list ☐ Hold ☐ Drop
- Rationale (2–5 sentences): __________________________________________
- Next validation actions (8–12 interviews, counsel memo, margin check, etc.): __________________________________________
- Revisit triggers (what evidence would change the decision): __________________________________________
Confidence upgrade plan for short-listed countries
- Top 5 low-confidence assumptions that drive the score: ____________________
- Fast tests: targeted customer/partner interviews; one local counsel memo on gating regs; channel margin check.
- Decision rule: what evidence moves the country from Hold → Short-list or Short-list → Drop.
- Common traps: over-weighting macro indicators; ignoring invoicing/tax friction; assuming channel power is “manageable.”
- Company / BU: ____________________